CHAP IV.
POWER OMONG STATES
IV.I POWER IN ITERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND BALANCE OF
POWER
IV.I.0 Power in International
Relations defined in several different ways. Political scientists, historians, and practitioners of international relations (diplomats) have used the following concepts of political power:
- Power as a goal of states or leaders;
- Power as a measure of influence
or control over outcomes, events, actors and issues;
- Power as reflecting victory in conflict and the
attainment of security;
- Power as control over resources and
capabilities;
- Power as status, which some states or actors
possess and other do not.
Modern discourse generally speaks in
terms of state power, indicating both economic and military power. Those states
that have significant amounts of power within the international system are
referred to as middle powers, regional powers, great powers, superpowers, or hyper powers/hegemons, although there is no commonly accepted standard for what
defines a powerful state.
Entities other than states can also
acquire and wield power in international relations. Such entities can include multilateral international organizations, military alliance organizations like NATO, multinational corporations like Wal-Mart, non-governmental organizations, the Roman Catholic Church, Al-Qaeda, or other institutions such as the Hanseatic League
IV.I.1 Power
as a goal
Primary usage of "power"
as a goal in international relations belongs to political theorists, such as Niccolò Machiavelli and Hans Morgenthau. Especially among Classical Realist
thinkers, power is an inherent goal of mankind and of states. Economic growth,
military growth, cultural spread etc. can all be considered as working towards
the ultimate goal of international power
IV.I.2 Power as influence
NATO accounts for over 70% of global military expenditure, with the United States alone accounting for 43% of global military expenditure.
Political scientists principally use "power" in terms of an actor's
ability to exercise influence
over other actors within the international system. This influence can be coercive, attractive, cooperative, or competitive. Mechanisms of influence can include the threat or use of
force, economic interaction or pressure, diplomacy, and cultural exchange.
IV.I.3 Spheres,
blocs, and alliances
Under certain circumstances, states
can organize a sphere of influence or a bloc within which they exercise predominant influence.
Historical examples include the spheres of influence recognized under the Concert of Europe,
or the recognition of spheres during the Cold War following the Yalta Conference.
The Warsaw Pact, the "Free World", and the Non-Aligned Movement were the blocs that arose out of the Cold War contest.
Military alliances like NATO and the Warsaw Pact are another forum through which
influence is exercised. However, "realist" theory often attempts to stay away from the creation
of powerful blocs/spheres that can create a hegemon within the region. British foreign policy, for example, has always sided against the hegemonic forces
on the European continent, i.e. Nazi Germany, Napoleonic France or Habsburg Austria.
IV.I.4 Power as
security
Power
is also used when describing states or actors that have achieved military victories or security for their state in the international
system. This general usage is most commonly found among the writings of
historians or popular writers. For instance, a state that has achieved a string
of combat victories in a military campaign against other states can be
described as powerful. An actor that has succeeded in protecting its security, sovereignty, or strategic interests from repeated or significant
challenge can also be described as powerful.
IV.I.5 Power as
capability
Power is the capacity to direct the decisions and actions of
others. Power derives from strength and will. Strength comes from the
transformation of resources into capabilities. Will infuse objectives with
resolve. Strategy marshals capabilities and brings them to bear with precision.
Statecraft seeks through strategy to magnify the mass, relevance, impact, and
irresistibility of power.
It guides the ways the state deploys and applies its
power abroad. These ways embrace the arts of war, espionage, and diplomacy. The
practitioners of these three arts are the paladins of statecraft.
Power
is also used to describe the resources
and capabilities
of a state. This definition is quantitative and is most often used by geo
politicians and the military. Capabilities are thought of in tangible terms,
they are measurable, weighable, quantifiable assets. Thomas Hobbes spoke of power as "present means to obtain some future
apparent good." Hard power can be treated as a potential and is not often
enforced on the international stage.
IV.I.6 Hard
versus soft power
Some political scientists
distinguish between two types of power: Hard and Soft. The former is coercive while
the latter is attractive. Hard power refers to coercive tactics: the threat or
use of armed forces, economic pressure or sanctions,
assassination and subterfuge, or other forms of intimidation.
Hard power is
generally associated to the stronger of nations, as the ability to change the
domestic affairs of other nations through military threats. Realists and
neorealists, such as John Mearsheimer, are advocates of the use of such power
for the balancing of the international system.
Joseph Nye is the leading proponent and theorist of soft power.
Instruments of soft power include debates on cultural values, dialogues on
ideology, the attempt to influence through good example, and the appeal to
commonly accepted human values. Means of exercising soft power include
diplomacy, dissemination of information, analysis, propaganda, and cultural
programming to achieve political ends.
IV.I.7 Power as status
Much effort in academic and popular
writing is devoted to deciding which countries have the status of
"power", and how this can be measured. If a country has
"power" (as influence) in military, diplomatic, cultural, and
economic spheres, it might be called a "power" (as status). There are
several categories of power, and inclusion of a state in one category or
another is fraught with difficulty and controversy.
IV.I.7.1
Definitions
In his famous
1987 work, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers British-American historian Paul Kennedy charts the relative status of the various powers from AD
1500 to 2000. He does not begin the book with a theoretical definition of a "great power", however he does list them, separately,
for many different eras. As well, he uses different working definitions of a great power for different era. For example:
France was not strong enough to oppose Germany in a
one-to-one struggle. If the mark of a Great Power is country which is willing
to take on any other, then France (like Austria-Hungary) had slipped to a lower
position. But that definition seemed too abstract in 1914 to a nation geared up
for war, militarily stronger than ever, wealthy, and, above all, endowed with
powerful allies.
IV.I.7.2
Categories of Power
In the modern geopolitical
landscape, a number of terms are used to describe various types of powers,
which include the following:
- Superpower: In 1944, Fox defined superpower as "great power plus great mobility of power" and identified 3 states, the British Empire, the Soviet Union and the United States. The United States is currently the only country considered to be a superpower, with China, Russia, India and the European Union being potential superpowers.
- Great power: In historical mentions, the term great power refers to any nations that have strong political, cultural and economic influence over nations around it and across the world. China, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, and the United Kingdom are often considered to be current great powers.
- Regional power: Used to describe a nation that exercises influence and power within a region. Being a regional power is not mutually exclusive with any of the other categories of power. Many countries are often described as regional powers, among those are Australia, Brazil, Canada, India, Italy, Mexico, South Korea and Spain
- Middle power: A subjective description of second-tier influential
states that could not be described as great powers, such as Argentina, Netherlands, Indonesia, Israel, Poland and South Africa.
IV.I.8 other
types of power
The term energy superpower describes a country that has immense influence or even
direct control over much of the world's energy supplies. Saudi
Arabia and Russia, are generally acknowledged as the world's current energy
superpowers, given their abilities to globally influence or even directly
control prices to certain countries. Canada and Australia are potential future energy superpowers.
The term cultural/entertainment
superpower describes a country in which has immense influence or even
direct control over much of the world's entertainment or has an immense large
cultural influence on much of the world. Although this is debated on who meets
such criteria, many agree that the United Kingdom, United States, and Japan are generally acknowledged as the entertainment and
cultural superpowers, given their abilities to distribute their entertainment
and cultural innovations worldwide. South Korea is generally considered potential entertainment and
cultural superpower.
IV.I.9 Small Power
“Diplomats
from a military weak country may have trouble making their point. Those from
military strong country are listened to carefully” (Roskin & Berry,
2002:280)
There is
considerable literature on the foreign policy challenges of states
that are not great powers, termed variously as middle powers, small states,
regional powers,
secondary powers
and the like. The formalization of the division between small and great powers
came about with the signing of the Treaty of Chaumont
in 1814. Before that the assumption had been that all independent states were
in theory equal regardless of physical strength and responsibilities.
From the second
half of the twentieth century, the bipolar power blocs decreased the strategic
room for manoeuvre for smaller actors. The late 1960s and early 1970s briefly
saw strategic studies orienting towards smaller actors. In his seminal study of
great and small powers in international law, Karol Wolfke
notes that ‘the existence of great and small powers side by side has always
been a source of particular difficulties and international conflicts’. There
are several possible ways of defining a small power. Most attempts at definitions
have been in reference to quantifiable entities. An obvious contemporary
yardstick could be weapons technologies or prestige. Different point of entry
is in reference to resources.
The
International System is for the most part made up by small powers (and small
states). This is easily forgotten by the single minded focus of academia on the
great powers. Over time the impact of a small power in the international system
may never equal or surpass the impact of greater powers. Nevertheless small powers
can influence the workings of the international system together with other
states causing reactions from other nations. Small powers are instruments of
great powers and they are actors; they may act to strengthen stability or they
may promote chaos. They may at times be dominated, but they cannot be ignored.
IV.I.9.1
Powers great and small
Almost all
studies of power in international relations focus on great power politics and
it will for this reason not be discussed here. For, as László Réczei noted, power
status hinges on the capacity for violence: "If the notion of war were
unknown in international relations, the definition of ‘small power’ would have
no significance; just as in the domestic life of a nation it has no
significance whether a man is less tall or has a weaker physique than his
fellow citizen.
Most of the small-state studies that make up
the backbone of the small power research tradition were carried out in the
heyday of non-alignment by scholars such as David Vital, Robert Rothstein,
Maurice East and Robert Keohane.
The weakening
of the non-alignment movement during the 1970s coincided with a gradual decline
in small-state studies, culminating in Peter Baehr’s critical appraisal of the
research tradition in which he questioned smallness as a useful framework for
analysis. The small-power category was first taken into serious account with
David Mitrany’s study on world government (pax oecumenica) in 1933.
IV.I.9.2
Characteristics of small powers
Though a single
definition has proved elusive due to the number of potential variables and
their particular interpretation under given conditions, Asle Toje claims that to have found recurring traits in the research
literature regarding the behavioural patterns of small powers on the
international stage.
a.
The strategic behaviour of small
powers is characterized by dependence. A small power recognizes that it cannot
obtain security by relying solely on its own capabilities. They cannot affect
the international system alone but with some concerted effort they can have an
impact on the way the system works. A small power plays a dispensable and
non-decisive part in a great power’s array of political and military resources.
Small powers therefore tend towards a policy of either strict neutrality or
alliance. Those ‘located in geopolitical regions critical to maintaining a
great power’s position in the international system tends to opt for alliance’.
In an alliance, small powers tend to follow the alliance leader closely, lend
it what support they can and avoid antagonizing it.
b.
Small powers display variable
geometry. In terms of military capabilities there is no ability to project
power on a global scale. They are forced by their limited resources, their
location and by the international system itself to establish clear priorities.
To this end, they identify a hierarchy of risks and attempt to internationalize
those considered to be most serious.
Small power policies, argues David Vital,
are aimed at altering the external environment by ‘reducing an unfavourable
discrepancy in strength, broadening the field of manoeuvre and choice, and
increasing the total resources on which the state can count in times of
stresses. Small powers are therefore status quo oriented. They work within the
established order rather than attempting to revise the order itself.
c.
Small powers are the primary
beneficiaries of international institutions and are, by necessity, lovers of
the law. A small power will often seek to minimize the costs of conducting
foreign policy and will increase the weight behind its policies by engaging in
concerted efforts with other actors.
d.
Small powers are risk averse. They
see more dangers than opportunities in international politics, which leads them
both to shun system-upholding tasks and to display a penchant for token
participation in such endeavours. Zaki Laidi
defines a risk averse power as an international actor that ‘defines and responds
to the political states of a given identified risk in terms of a will to reduce
its uncertainties and uncontrollable effects’. Due to the risks of
extermination when challenging more powerful states, their ambitions are
generally ‘defensive’. They have a narrow range of interests and little freedom
of activity.
IV.I.10 Modern Age
European powers
From the 15th
century to the early 18th century during the 17th and 18th
centuries the Habsburg monarchy and the Dutch Republic were added to the group, whilst Portugal, Spain and the
Ottomans progressively lost their power and influence. In 1707 Great Britain
(created by the unification of the kingdoms of England and Scotland)
replaced England, and progressively became more powerful during the 18th
century, becoming embroiled with other European powers, particularly France,
for control of territory outside of Europe, such as North America and India. In
the second half of the 18th century Russia and Prussia
gained major status.
During Early Modern European Age a group of other states including Sweden, the Kingdom of the Two Sicilies, the Papal States, Denmark-Norway,
the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth and Bavaria
were recognized as having important impact on the European balance of power.
From the late 18th
century and during all the 19th century, there was an informal convention
recognising Five Great Powers in Europe: France, Great Britain, Russia, Austria (later Austro-Hungary) and the Kingdom of Prussia
(later the German Empire). From the late 19th century Italy was added to this group. Eventually two extra non-European
powers, Japan and the United States of America, were able to gain the same great power status from the start of 20th century.
IV.II
Balance of Power
At the core of the balance of
power theory is the idea that national security is enhanced when military
capabilities are distributed so that no one state is strong enough to dominate all others. If one state gains
inordinate power, the theory predicts that it will take advantage of its
strength and attack weaker neighbors thereby providing an incentive for those
threatened to unite in a defensive coalition. Some realists maintain that this would be more stable as
aggression would appear unattractive and would be averted if there was equilibrium
of power between the rival coalitions.
In
international relations, the balance of power is the posture and policy
of a nation or group of nations protecting itself against another nation or
group of nations by matching its power against the power of the other side.
States can pursue a policy of balance of power in two ways:
The term balance of power came into
use to denote the power relationships in the European state system from the end
of the Napoleonic Wars to World War I. Within the European balance of power,
Great Britain played the role of the “balancer,” or
“holder of the balance.” It was not permanently identified with the policies of
any European nation, and it would throw its weight at one time on one side, at
another time on another side, guided largely by one consideration the maintenance of the balance itself.
Naval supremacy and its virtual immunity from foreign invasion enabled Great
Britain to perform this function, which made the European balance of power both
flexible and stable.
The balance of power from the early
20th century onward underwent drastic changes that for all practical purposes
destroyed the European power structure as it had existed since the end of the
middle Ages. Prior to the 20th century, the political world was composed of a
number of separate and independent balance-of-power systems, such as the
European, the American, the Chinese, and the Indian.
But WW I and
its attendant political alignments triggered a process that eventually
culminated in the integration of most of the world’s nations into a single
balance-of-power system. This integration began with the World War I alliance
of Britain, France, Russia, and the United States against Germany and
Austria-Hungary. The integration continued in WW II,
during which the fascist nations of Germany, Japan, and Italy were opposed by a
global alliance of the Soviet Union, the United States, Britain, and China.
World War II ended with the major
weights in the balance of power having shifted from the traditional players in
western and central Europe to just two non-European ones: the USA
and the USSR. The result was a bipolar balance of power
across the northern half of the globe that pitted the free-market democracies
of the West against the communist one-party states of Eastern Europe. More
specifically, the nations of Western Europe sided with the United States in the
NATO military alliance, while the Soviet Union’s
satellite-allies in central and Eastern Europe became unified under Soviet
leadership in the Warsaw
Pact.
There were other decisive differences
between the postwar balance of power and its predecessor. The fear of mutual
destruction in a global nuclear holocaust injected into the foreign policies of
the United States and the Soviet Union a marked element of restraint. A direct
military confrontation between the two superpowers and their allies on European
soil was an almost-certain gateway to nuclear war and was therefore to be
avoided at almost any cost. So instead, direct confrontation was largely
replaced by (1) a massive arms race whose lethal products were never used and
(2) political meddling or limited military interventions by the superpowers in
various Third World nations.
IV.II.1 Forms of Power
IV.II.1.1 Soft power
The
concept of Soft power was developed by Joseph Nye of Harvard University to
describe the ability to attract and co-opt rather than coerce, use force or
give money as a means of persuasion. Nye coined the term in a 1990 book, Bound
to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power. He further developed the
concept in his 2004 book, Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics.
The term is now widely used in
international affairs by analysts and statesmen. For example, in 2007, CPC
General Secretary HU Jintao told the 17th Communist Party Congress
that China needed to increase its soft power, and the US Secretary of Defense,
Robert Gates spoke of the need to enhance American soft power by "a
dramatic increase in spending on the civilian instruments of national security diplomacy,
strategic communications, foreign assistance, civic action and economic
reconstruction and development."
In 2010, Annette Lu, former
vice-president of the Republic of China on Taiwan, visited South Korea and
advocated the ROC's use of soft power as a model for the resolution of
international conflicts. General Wesley
Clark when discussing soft power commented that, “it gave us an influence far
beyond the hard edge of traditional balance of power politics.”
For Nye, power is the ability to
influence the behavior of others to get the outcomes you want. There are
several ways one can achieve this: you can coerce them with threats; you can
induce them with payments; or you can attract and co-opt them to want what you
want. This soft power-getting others to want the outcomes you want co-opts
people rather than coerces them. It is
also considered the "second face of power" that indirectly allow you
to obtain the outcomes you want.
"A country may obtain the outcomes it wants in world politics
because other countries admiring its values, emulating its example, aspiring to
its level of prosperity and openness want to follow it. In this sense, it is
also important to set the agenda and attract others in world politics, and not
only to force them to change by threatening military force or economic sanctions.
This soft power getting others to want the outcomes that you want co-opts
people rather than coerces them."
Soft power resources are the assets
that produce attraction which often leads to acquiescence. Nye asserts that,
“Seduction is always more effective than coercion, and many values like
democracy, human rights, and individual opportunities are deeply seductive.”
Angelo Codevilla observed that an often overlooked essential aspect of soft
power is that different parts of populations are attracted or repelled by
different things, ideas, images, or prospects. Soft power is hampered when
policies, culture, or values repel others instead of attracting them.
In his book, Nye argues that soft
power is a more difficult instrument for governments to wield than hard power
for two reasons; First, many of its critical resources are outside the control
of governments; Second, soft power tends to “work indirectly by shaping the
environment for policy, and sometimes takes years to produce the desired
outcomes." The book identifies three broad categories of soft power:
“culture,” “political values,” and “policies.”
The impressive job of the American
military in providing humanitarian relief after the Indian Ocean tsunami and the South Asian earthquake in 2005 helped restore the
attractiveness of the United States. Of course, misuse of military resources
can also undercut soft power. The Soviet Union had a great deal of soft power in the years after World
War II, but it destroyed it by the way
that they used their hard power against Hungary and Czechoslovakia, just as military actions by America in the Middle
East undercut its soft power.
IV.II.1.1.2
Limitation
Soft power has been criticized as
being ineffective by authors such as Niall Ferguson in the preface to Colossus. Neorealist
and other rationalist and neorationalist authors (with the exception of Stephen
Walt) dismiss soft power out of hand as
they assert that actors in international relations respond to only two types of
incentives: economic incentives and force. As a concept, it is often hard to
distinguish between the effects of soft power and other factors.
For example,
Janice Bially Mattern asserts that George W. Bush's use of the phrase "you are either with us or against
us" was an exercise in soft power, since no explicit threat was included.
However, rationalist authors would merely see this as an 'implied threat', and
that direct economic or military sanctions would likely follow from being
'against us'.
IV.II.1.1.3 measuring soft power
Soft power, then, represents the
third behavioral way of getting the outcomes you want. Soft power is contrasted
with hard power, which has historically been the predominant realist measure of
national power, through quantitative
metrics
such as population size, concrete military assets, or a nation's gross domestic product. But having such resources does not always produce the
desired outcomes, as the United States discovered in the Vietnam War. The
extent of attraction can be measured by public opinion polls, by elite
interviews, and case studies.
The first attempt to measure soft
power through a composite index was created and published by the Institute for Government and Monocle (2007 magazine). The G-Monocle Soft Power Index combined a range of
statistical metrics and subjective panel scores to measure the soft power
resources of 26 countries. The metrics were organized according to a framework
of five sub-indices including culture, diplomacy, education,
business/innovation and government.
Nye argues that soft power is more
than influence, since influence can also rest on the hard power of threats or
payments. And soft power is more than just persuasion or the ability to move
people by argument, though that is an important part of it. It is also the
ability to attract, and attraction often leads to acquiescence.
In international relations, soft power is generated only in part by what the
government does through its policies and public diplomacy. The generation of
soft power is also affected in positive (and negative) ways by a host of
non-state actors within and outside the country. Those actors affect both the
general public and governing elites in other countries, and create an enabling
or disabling environment for government policies.
In some cases, soft power enhances
the probability of other elites adopting policies that allow one to achieve
preferred outcomes. In other cases, where being seen as friendly to another
country is seen as a local political kiss of death, the decline or absence of
soft power will prevent a government from obtaining particular goals. But even
in such instances, the interactions of civil societies and non-state actors may
help to further general milieu goals such as democracy, liberty, and
development. Soft power is not the possession of any one country or actor.
IV.II.1.1.4
Just power
To overcome the conventional
discussions on soft and hard power, Nayef Al-Rodhan highlights the importance of justice in the debate
and proposes the concept of "just power". He argues that both,
a state’s soft and hard power tools, have to be employed in the service of justice,
if this power has to be sustainable. Justice is to be understood here in a
minimalist sense, namely the respect of universal human rights. Al-Rodhan argues that justice in international affairs and as part of
states’ foreign policies should not be pursued for altruistic reasons or out of
a desire to do what is right, but rather, it should be pursued because it is
the only sustainable way for states to promote progress and stability in a
globalized world.
IV.II.1.1.6 Examples of soft power
a. United States
"Soft power has been a strong suit for the United
States virtually from its inception – certainly long before the country became
a recognized world power in the twentieth century. American 'exceptionalism' the
nation’s devotion to freedom, the rule of law, and the practice of republican
government, its openness to immigrants of all races and religions, its
opposition to traditional power politics and imperialism has had a great deal
to do with the rise of the United States to its currently dominant global
role.”
b. China’s soft
power in Africa
People in Africa have a positive
view towards China. Survey data show that Africans view China as a positive
influence in their countries, close to or even surpassing the view towards United
States as a positive influence. China's increasing soft power can be explained
by looking at China's economic growth and regarding economic engagement with
many African countries. China's expansion of trade and investment on the
African continent and the spread of Chinese-led infrastructure projects gives
positive impression about China towards people in Africa.
China's economic
engagement in African countries is considered as much more pragmatic and in
consistency with the priorities of many African countries. Moreover, China's
increasing role as a global superpower seems appealing and this drives a desire
to tie African economies more closely to China's economy.
China has made a systematic effort
to expand and give greater profile to its soft-power policies in Africa ever
since the first Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in 2000. The commitments of
China's soft power ranges from health, humanitarian assistance to academic,
professional and cultural exchange. China's assistance to Africa, however, is not
near the U.S. assistance in Africa.
IV.II.1.2 Hard power
Hard power is the use of military and economic means to influence the behavior or interests of other political bodies. This
form of political power is often aggressive, and is most effective when imposed
by one political body upon another of lesser military and/or economic power.
Hard power contrasts with soft power, which comes from diplomacy, culture and history.
According to Joseph Nye, the term is “the ability to use the carrots and sticks
of economic and military might to make others follow your will.” Here, “carrots” are inducements such as the
reduction of trade barriers, the offer of an alliance or the promise of
military protection. On the other hand, “sticks” are threats including the use
of coercive diplomacy,
the threat of military intervention, or the implementation of economic sanctions.
Ernest Wilson
describes it as the capacity to coerce “another to act in ways in which that
entity would not have acted otherwise.”
Hard power lies at the command Hegemon end of the spectrum of behaviors and describes a nation's ability to coerce or induce another nation to perform a
course of action. This can be done through military power which consists of coercive diplomacy,
war, and alliance using threats and force with the aim of coercion, deterrence,
and protection. Alternatively economic power which relies on aid, bribes and economic sanctions
can be used in order to induce and coerce.
While the term hard power generally
refers to diplomacy, it can also be used to describe forms of negotiation which
involve pressure or threats as leverage.
The use of hard power is often
tedious. Insurgencies against the external force can be prominent. The United
States has demonstrated a 'hard power' policy in regards to the Iraq War, the Afghanistan War
and its continued war on the Taliban. To be more specific, the United States’ attack on Iraq in
2003 was based on the concerns about Iraq’s possession of weapons of mass destruction (WMD). In part by referring to “War on Terrorism,” George W. Bush administration used hard power measures to uproot Iraqi
dictator Saddam Hussein and to handle subsequent crisis in Iraq.
However, many
critics mention that the war in Iraq had the United States lose its reputation
as an icon for democracy and justice.
For instance, there are many sanctions against
Iran passed by UN Security Council and numerous nations such as the United States and European
Union also impose bilateral sanctions against Iran. They impose restrictions on
exports of nuclear and missile to Iran, banking and insurance transactions,
investment in oil, exports of refined petroleum products, and so on. Such
measures are taken by many nations to deter Iran’s possible nuclear weapon
program.
IV.II.1.3 Smart power
In IR, the term smart power
refers to the combination of hard power and soft power strategies. The Center
for Strategic and International Studies defines the smart power as "an
approach that underscores the necessity of a strong military, but also invests
heavily in alliances, partnerships, and institutions of all levels to expand
American influence and establish legitimacy of American action."
Joseph Nye, former Assistant
Secretary of Defense under the Clinton Administration and author of several
books on smart power strategy, suggests that the most effective strategies in
foreign policy today require a mix of hard and soft power resources.
Employing
only hard power or only soft power in a given situation will usually prove
inadequate. Nye utilizes the example of terrorism, arguing that combating
terrorism demands smart power strategy. He advises that simply utilizing soft
power resources to change the hearts and minds of the Taliban government would
be ineffective and requires a hard power component. In developing relationships
with the mainstream Muslim world, however, soft power resources are necessary
and the use of hard power would have damaging effects.
According to Chester A Crocker,
smart power "involves the strategic use of diplomacy, persuasion, capacity
building, and the projection of power and influence in ways that are
cost-effective and have political and social legitimacy" –
essentially the engagement of both military force and all forms of diplomacy.
IV.II.1.3.1
Origin
The origin of the term "smart
power" is under debate and has been attributed to both Suzanne Nossel
and Joseph
Nye.
Suzanne Nossel, Deputy to Ambassador
Holbrooke at the United Nations during the Clinton administration, is credited
with coining the term in an article in Foreign Affairs entitled, "Smart Power: Reclaiming Liberal
Internationalism", in 2004.
IV.II.1.3.2
History of smart power in the United States
The "term" smart power
emerged in the past decade, but the "concept" of smart power has much
earlier roots in the history of the United States and is a popular notion in
international relations today.
1901: President Theodore Roosevelt
proclaims: "Speak softly and carry a big stick."
1961: The United States begins
implementing soft power programs, such as American broadcasting into the Soviet
bloc, to combat Soviet Union.
1991: The end of the Cold War was
marked by the collapse of the Berlin Wall, which fell as a result of a
combination of hard and soft power. Throughout the Cold War, hard power was
used to deter Soviet aggression and soft power was used to erode faith in
Communism. Joseph Nye said: "When the Berlin Wall finally collapsed, it
was destroyed not by artillery barrage but by hammers and bulldozers wielded by
those who had lost faith in communism."
2004: Joseph S. Nye introduces the
term "smart power" in his book, "Soft Power: The Means to
Success in World Politics". "Smart power is neither hard nor soft. It
is both," he writes. In an article in "Foreign Affairs", analyst
Suzanne Nossel uses the term "smart power". For Nossel, "Smart
power means knowing that the United States' own hand is not always its best
tool: U.S. interests are furthered by enlisting others on behalf of U.S.
goals."
2007: In light of 9/11 and the war
in Iraq, the Bush administration was criticized for placing too much emphasis
on a hard power strategy.
To counter this hard power strategy, the Center for Strategic and
International Studies released the
"Commission on Smart Power" to introduce the concept of smart power
into discussion on which principles should guide the future of U.S. foreign
policy in light of 9/11 and the war in Iraq.
The report identifies five
critical areas of focus for the U.S.: Alliances, Global Development, Public
Diplomacy, Economic Integration, and Technology and Innovation. According to
the report, these five goals constitute smart foreign policy and will help the
United States achieve the goal of "American preeminence as an agent of
good."
2009: The Center for
Strategic and International Studies,
released a second report, "Investing in a New Multilateralism", to
address the concept of smart power in international releases. This report
addressed the United Nations as an instrument of U.S. smart power. By
collaborating with the UN, the U.S. can lead the way in reinvigorating
multilateralism within in the international community in the 21st century.
2009: Under the Obama
administration, smart power became a core principle of his foreign policy
strategy. It was popularized by Hillary Clinton during her Senate confirmation hearing on January 13, 2009
for the position of Secretary of State. Both Suzanne Nossel and Joseph Nye were supportive of Clinton's encouragement of smart power,
since it would popularize the use of smart power in U.S. foreign policy.
We must use what has been called smart power the
full range of tools at our disposal diplomatic, economic, military, political,
legal, and cultural picking the right tool, or combination of tools, for each
situation. With smart power, diplomacy will be the vanguard of foreign policy.
2010: The "First Quadrennial
Diplomacy and Development Review (QDDR)" entitled, "Leading through
Civilian Power", called for the implementation of a smart power strategy
through civilian leadership.
2011: Obama's "2011 May Speech
on the Middle East and North Africa" called for a smart power strategy,
incorporating development, in addition to defense and diplomacy, as the third
pillar of his foreign policy doctrine.
IV.II.1.3.3
Challenges in the application of smart power
According to "Dealing with
Today's Asymmetric Threat to U.S. and Global Security", a symposium
sponsored by CACI, an effective smart power strategy faces multiple
challenges in transitioning from smart power as a theory to smart power in practice.
Applying smart power today requires great difficulty, since it operates in an
environment of asymmetric threats, ranging from cyber-security to terrorism.
a. Rule of law
and by Law
In order to implement smart power
approaches on both a domestic and international level, the United States must
develop a legal framework for the use of smart power capabilities. Developing a
legal foundation for smart power, however, demands a clear concept of these
asymmetric threats, which is often difficult.
The cyber domain, for instance,
presents an extremely nebulous concept. Hence, the challenge will be
conceptualizing asymmetric threats before formulating a legal framework.
b.
Organizational roadblocks
The inability to promote smart power
approaches because of organizational failures within agencies presents another
obstacle to successful smart power implementation. Agencies often lack either
the appropriate authority or resources to employ smart power. The only way to
give smart power long-term sustainability is to address these organizational
failures and promote the coordination and accessibility of hard and soft power
resources.
c. Financing
smart power
With the ongoing financial crisis,
the dire need for financial resources presents a critical obstacle to the
implementation of smart power. According to Secretary Gates, 'there is a need
for a dramatic increase in spending on the civilian instruments of national
security diplomacy, strategic communications, foreign assistance, civic action,
and economic reconstruction and development." In order to successfully
implement smart power, the U.S. budget needs to be rebalanced so that
non-military foreign affairs programs receive more funding. Sacrificing defense
spending will, however, be met with stalwart resistance.
d. Strategic
communications
"Asymmetries of
perception," according to the report, are a major obstacle to strategic
communications. A long-term smart power strategy will mitigate negative perceptions
by discussing the nature of these threats and making a case for action using
smart power strategy. The report states that the central theme of our strategic
communications campaign should be education of our nation in our values as a
democratic nation and in the nature of the threats our nation faces today.
e. United
Nations as an instrument of smart power
Of all the tools at the disposal of
smart power strategists in the United States, experts suggest that the U.N. is
the most critical. The CSIS issued a report, Investing in a New
Multilateralism, in January 2009 to outline the role of the UN as an
instrument of U.S. smart power strategy. The report suggests that in an
increasingly multipolar world, the UN cannot be discarded as outdated and must
be regarded as an essential tool to thinking strategically about the new
multilateralism that our nation faces.
An effective smart power strategy will
align the interests of the U.S. and the UN, thereby effectively addressing
threats to peace and security, climate change, global health, and humanitarian
operations.
IV.II.1.3.4
Global perspectives on smart power
a. U.S.-China
relations
As announced by Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton in November 2011, the United States will begin to shift its
attention to the Asia-Pacific region, making the strategic relationship between
the U.S. and China of supreme importance in determining the future of
international affairs in the region.
The CSIS, in "Smart Power in
U.S.-China Relations," offers recommendations for building a cooperative
strategic relationship between the U.S. and China through smart power
strategy. Overall, the report suggests
that U.S.-Sino relations should be pursued without the black-and-white view of
China as either benign or hostile, but rather, as a partner necessary in
serving the interests of the U.S. and the region while promoting the global
good.
b. U.S-Turkish
Relations
The Obama administration continually
stresses the importance of smart power strategy in relations with the Middle
East and especially Turkey due to its increasing leadership role as a regional
soft power. As not only an Islamic democratic nation but also the only Muslim
member of NATO, Turkey's leverage in the region could inspire other nations to
follow in its footsteps. By establishing a cooperative relationship with Turkey
and working to clarify misunderstandings through smart power, Turkey could
eventually become the bridge between the East and the West.
A smart power
approach to U.S.-Turkish relations will expand the leadership role of Turkey in
the region and increases its strategic importance to NATO.
c.
Transformational diplomacy versus smart power strategy
Condoleeza Rice, Bush's Secretary of
State, coined the term "Transformational Diplomacy" to denote Bush's
policy to promote democracy through a hard power driven strategy.
"Transformational diplomacy" stands at odds with "smart
power," which utilizes hard and soft power resources based on the
situation. The Obama administration's foreign policy is based on smart power strategy,
attempting to strike a balance between defense and diplomacy.
d. Smart power
as an instrument of American imperialism
In an interview with the Boston
Globe, interviewer Anna Mundow, questioned Joseph Nye over the criticism that
smart power is the friendly face of American imperialism. By the same token,
the Bush doctrine has also been criticized for being "imperialistic,"
by focusing on American power over partnerships with the rest of the world.
Joseph Nye defends smart power by noting that criticism often stems from a
misunderstanding of the smart power theory. Nye himself designed the theory to
apply to any nation of any size, not just the United States. It was meant to be
a more sophisticated method of thinking about power in the context of the information
age and post-9/11 world.19 President Obama defined his vision for U.S.
leadership as "not in the spirit of a patron but the spirit of a
partner."
e. Ineffective
use of smart power
Ken Adelman argues that there is no
correlation between U.S. aid and the ability of America to positively influence
events abroad. He points out that the nations who receive the most foreign aid,
such as Egypt and Pakistan, are no more in tune with American values than those
who receive less or no U.S. foreign aid. Overall, he criticizes the instruments
of smart power, such as foreign aid and exchange programs, for being
ineffective in achieving our national interests.
f. Questioning
old institutions and alliances
In the application of smart power in
U.S. strategy, Ted Galen Carpenter, author of the work Smart Power',
criticizes U.S. foreign policy for failing to question outdated alliances, such
as NATO. Carpenter articulated his disapproval of interventionist foreign
policy, saying, "America does not need to be and should not aspire to be a
combination global policeman and global social worker."
Rather than
utilizing antiquated institutions, the U.S. should rethink certain alliances in
arriving at a new vision for the future of American foreign policy. Carpenter
fears that America's domestic interests will be sacrificed in favor of global
interests through smart power. Essentially, interventionist foreign policies
advocated by U.S. smart power strategies undercut domestic liberties.
IV.II.1.3.5
Aftermath of the Cold War
Conventional great powers: UN P5 and recognized
nuclear weapons
states: China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States.
Economic great powers: Germany and Japan.
China, France, Russia, the United
Kingdom and the United States are referred to as great powers. These five
nations are the only states to have permanent seats
with veto power on the UN Security Council. They are also the recognized "Nuclear Weapons States" under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and have the five largest military expenditures in the world.
After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, its UN Security Council permanent seat was transferred to
the Russian Federation
in 1991, as its successor state. The newly formed Russian Federation emerged on the level
of a great power, leaving the United States as the only remaining global superpower
(although some support a multipolar world view).
However, there is no unanimous
agreement among authorities as to the current status of these powers or what
precisely defines a "great" power. Sources have at times referred to
China, France, the United Kingdom, and Russia as middle powers.
Japan and Germany are sometimes
classified as middle powers. However, they are also included among the great
powers, due to their economic status (having the third and fourth largest economies respectively), despite their lack of permanent seats and
veto power on the UN Security Council or strategic military reach.
With continuing European integration, the European Union is increasingly being seen as a great power in its own
right, with representation at the WTO
and at G8 and G-20
summits. This is most notable in areas where the European Union has exclusive
competence (i.e. economic affairs). It also reflects a non-traditional
conception of Europe's world role as a global "civilian power",
exercising collective influence in the functional spheres of trade and
diplomacy, as an alternative to military dominance.
The European Union is not a sovereign state
and has limited scope in the areas of foreign affairs and defense policy. These
remain with the member states of the European Union, which include three larger powers (referred to as the
"EU
three"): France, Germany and the
United Kingdom.
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